WebbIndustry Reviews. A New York Times Editors' Choice A Washington Post Bestseller A Hudson Booksellers Best Business Interest Book of 2015 Longlisted for the Financial Times and McKinsey Business Book of the Year Award Winner of the Axiom Business Book Award in Business Theory (Gold Medal) "A top choice [for best book of 2015] among the … Webb5 juli 2016 · So what is the book about? Well, it is about forecasting, but there are many such books 2.What makes the book different from most other standard treatments on forecasting is that it gives a detailed account of the forecasting performance of a large number of “ ordinary ” individuals that volunteered to take part in various forecasting …
Predicting the Future Is Possible. ‘Superforecasters’ Know How.
WebbBOOK REVIEW Behavior, Society, and Nuclear War, volumes I and II. New York and Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1989 and 1991. By Philip E. Tetlock, Jo L. Hus-bands, Robert Jervis, Paul Stem, and Charles Tilly, eds. These volumes are the fruit of the National Research Council's decision in 1985 to create a committee to address the risks of ... WebbFind many great new & used options and get the best deals for Expert Political Judgment : How Good Is It? How Can We Know? by Philip E.... at the best online prices at eBay! Free shipping for many products! greenlight indycar diecast 1/18
Reasoning and Choice: Explorations in Political Psychology.
Webb28 juni 2024 · Articles, books, and other media discussed in the show. If you want to participate in the counterfactual forecasting tournament involving the game Civilization 5, sign up here.; The new Calibration Training App made by Open Phil and Clearer Thinking.; Find out more about Effective Altruism Global conferences.; Review of the forecasting … Webb29 aug. 2024 · Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the … Webb"Philip Tetlock is renowned for demonstrating that most experts are no better than 'dart-throwing monkeys' at predicting elections, wars, economic collapses and other events. In … greenlight indy cars